Carlyle Group Stock Analysis

CG Stock  USD 55.41  2.98  5.10%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Carlyle Group extending back to May 03, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Carlyle stands at 55.41, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 57.73 and the lowest price hitting 53.95 during the day.
IPO Date
3rd of May 2012
200 Day MA
56.2416
50 Day MA
59.7634
Beta
2.044
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Carlyle Group holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24. At this time, Carlyle's Long Term Debt is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Carlyle's current Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 8.3 B, while Short and Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 17.3 M. Carlyle's financial risk is the risk to Carlyle stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Carlyle's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Carlyle's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Carlyle Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Carlyle's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Carlyle, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Carlyle Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Carlyle's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
3.7448
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.596
Price Sales
6.2469
Shares Float
264.2 M
Dividend Share
1.4
Given that Carlyle's debt-to-equity ratio measures a Company's obligations relative to the value of its net assets, it is usually used by traders to estimate the extent to which Carlyle is acquiring new debt as a mechanism of leveraging its assets. A high debt-to-equity ratio is generally associated with increased risk, implying that it has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Another way to look at debt-to-equity ratios is to compare the overall debt load of Carlyle to its assets or equity, showing how much of the company assets belong to shareholders vs. creditors. If shareholders own more assets, Carlyle is said to be less leveraged. If creditors hold a majority of Carlyle's assets, the Company is said to be highly leveraged.
At this time, Carlyle's Preferred Stock Total Equity is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. . At this time, Carlyle's Price To Book Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Carlyle's current Price Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 9.86, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to decrease to (0.06).
Carlyle Group is undervalued with Real Value of 58.91 and Target Price of 70.0. The main objective of Carlyle stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Carlyle Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Carlyle's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Carlyle stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Carlyle's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Carlyle Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Carlyle Stock Analysis Notes

About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Carlyle was currently reported as 15.6. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.82. Carlyle Group last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The Carlyle Group Inc. is an investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. The Carlyle Group Inc. was founded in 1987 and is based in Washington, District of Columbia with additional offices in 21 countries across 5 continents . Carlyle operates under Asset Management classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1850 people. For more info on Carlyle Group please contact William Conway at (202) 729-5626 or go to https://www.carlyle.com.

Carlyle Group Investment Alerts

Carlyle Group reports about 1.61 B in cash with (759.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.42.
Carlyle Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: US Stock Market Today SP 500 Futures Nudge Higher As Rate Jitters Linger

Carlyle Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Carlyle's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-10-29
2020-09-300.360.40.0411 
2016-07-27
2016-06-300.310.350.0412 
2021-04-29
2021-03-310.520.580.0611 
View All Earnings Estimates

Carlyle Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Carlyle's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Carlyle's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Carlyle's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Carlyle's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Carlyle Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
4.3 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
3.6 M
Legal & General Group Plc2025-06-30
3.4 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2025-06-30
3.3 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
M
Norges Bank2025-06-30
2.9 M
Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd.2025-06-30
2.8 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2025-06-30
2.8 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
2.3 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
31.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
24.7 M
Note, although Carlyle's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Carlyle Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 20.04 B.

Carlyle Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of 0.21 %, which suggests that even a small decline in it sales will erase profits and may result in a net loss, or a negative profit margin. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of (0.3) %, which signifies that for every 100 dollars of sales, it has a net operating loss of $0.3.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.20 

Management Efficiency

Carlyle Group has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0333 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0333. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of 0.1254 %, which means that it produced $0.1254 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. Carlyle's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Carlyle manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Carlyle's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.11, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to 0.05. At this time, Carlyle's Net Tangible Assets are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Carlyle's current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.54, while Other Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 13.8 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 20.36  19.34 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 18.32  17.41 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 18.59  11.33 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.71  4.38 
Enterprise Value Multiple 18.59  11.33 
Price Fair Value 3.71  4.38 
Enterprise Value23 B12.9 B
At Carlyle Group, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.024
Operating Margin
(0.30)
Profit Margin
0.2062
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0253
Beta
2.044

Technical Drivers

As of the 7th of February, Carlyle shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.041, mean deviation of 1.57, and Downside Deviation of 2.29. Carlyle Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Carlyle Group value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Carlyle Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 55.41 per share. Given that Carlyle has jensen alpha of 0.0919, we suggest you to validate Carlyle Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Carlyle Group Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two.

Carlyle Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Carlyle insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Carlyle's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Carlyle insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Carlyle Outstanding Bonds

Carlyle issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Carlyle Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Carlyle bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Carlyle Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Carlyle Predictive Daily Indicators

Carlyle intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Carlyle stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Carlyle Corporate Filings

8K
6th of February 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
30th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
21st of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
9th of January 2026
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
17th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Carlyle Forecast Models

Carlyle's time-series forecasting models are one of many Carlyle's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Carlyle's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Carlyle Bond Ratings

Carlyle Group financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Carlyle have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Carlyle's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
3
FrailView
Beneish M Score
(2.39)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Carlyle Group Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Carlyle, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Carlyle Group reports 9.5 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.24, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Carlyle Group has a current ratio of 2.0, which is generally considered normal. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Carlyle to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.

Carlyle Common Stock Shares Outstanding Over Time

Carlyle Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Carlyle uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Carlyle Debt Ratio

    
  54.0   
It seems as roughly 46% of Carlyle's assets are financed be debt. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Carlyle's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Carlyle, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Carlyle Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Carlyle bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Carlyle Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Carlyle Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

9.32 Billion

At this time, Carlyle's Short and Long Term Debt Total is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years.

About Carlyle Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Carlyle prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Carlyle shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Carlyle. By using and applying Carlyle Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Carlyle entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.31  0.32 
Operating Profit Margin 0.31  0.32 
Net Profit Margin 0.22  0.24 
Gross Profit Margin 0.75  0.66 

Current Carlyle Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Carlyle analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Carlyle analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
70.0Buy18Odds
Carlyle Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Carlyle analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Carlyle stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Carlyle Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Carlyle conference calls.
Carlyle Analyst Advice Details

Carlyle Stock Analysis Indicators

Carlyle Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Carlyle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Carlyle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Carlyle stock analysis, traders can identify Carlyle position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding368 M
Total Stockholder Equity5.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-77.6 M
Tax Provision302.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.999
Property Plant And Equipment Net526.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
Cash2.1 B
Net Debt7.4 B
50 Day M A59.7634
Total Current Liabilities138.7 M
Other Operating Expenses2.7 B
Non Current Assets Total20 B
Forward Price Earnings11.9474
Non Currrent Assets Other15.5 B
Stock Based Compensation467.9 M

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When running Carlyle's price analysis, check to measure Carlyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlyle is operating at the current time. Most of Carlyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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